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The beginning of the end of AIDS? Not quite

HIV ribbon in the International Women´s Summit: Women´s Leadership in HIV and Aids in Nairobi, Kenya. Allan Gichigi/IRIN
The world is not on track to meet ambitious targets to significantly reduce sexual transmission of HIV, virtually eliminate mother-to-child HIV transmission and achieve universal access to treatment by 2015, according to a new report by global advocacy group ONE.

The authors of the report, The Beginning of the End? Tracking Global Commitments on AIDS, note that while cases of mother-to-child transmission of HIV have fallen by 24 percent over the past two years, just 6.6 million of the 15 million who need HIV treatment have access to it, and 2.5 million people continue to be newly infected every year. At the same time, funding for HIV response has levelled off, limiting the growth of treatment and prevention programmes.

ONE defines "the beginning of the end of AIDS" as the point at which the number of new HIV infections annually is finally surpassed by the number of people newly added to treatment annually," the report states. "At current rates of progress, the progression curves for these two indicators will not cross until 2022."

According to the report, achieving the beginning of the end of AIDS by the end of 2015 will require, in addition to current treatment growth rates, an additional 140,000 people to start HIV treatment annually. The world will also have to double rates of progress on prevention of new infections.

"The progress that has been achieved has been through advocacy, the leadership of people like Michel Sidibé [UNAIDS executive director] and increased financial contributions, most recently from developing nations," Miriam Were, former chairperson of Kenya’s National AIDS Control Council, told IRIN/PlusNews. Were is also a member of the Champions for an HIV-free Generation, a group of former African presidents and other influential people.

''Without a heightened sense of urgency and without collective action, starting in 2013, the beginning of the end of AIDS will remain a distant ambition, and millions of lives will hang in the balance''
"What we need now is an accelerated response to get to that intersection where the number of people on treatment is rising faster than the number of new HIV infections, this way we can get to the beginning of the end of AIDS."

Keys to goal

Key to achieving these goals will be increasing the money available to fight HIV - from developed, middle-income and low-income nations - and using what money is available efficiently. Also essential will be the use of new, scientifically proven HIV prevention methods.

"Tools such as voluntary medical male circumcision, treatment as prevention and upcoming ones like microbicides [vaginal gels used to prevent HIV] will all be critical to reducing new infections," Were said. "We also need the higher risk groups, such as men who have sex with men and sex workers, to become more visible, to access services."

The report notes that 2013 - when the Global Fund to fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria is due to have its fourth replenishment and global leaders are expected to meet and discuss the future of the UN Millennium Development Goals beyond 2015 - will be a "critical test of global commitment".

"Without a heightened sense of urgency and without collective action, starting in 2013, the beginning of the end of AIDS will remain a distant ambition, and millions of lives will hang in the balance," the authors said.

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This article was produced by IRIN News while it was part of the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. Please send queries on copyright or liability to the UN. For more information: https://shop.un.org/rights-permissions

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